How Foreign Buyers Affect Australian Home Prices

Demand from foreign buyers has been an important factor in the recent construction boom in Australia, and is expected to play an increasing role in the overall housing market.

A recent ANZ study said foreign investors were behind around 35,000 to 60,000 home purchases in Australia in 2015 to 2016, accounting for up to 13% of all transactions.

ANZ senior economist Daniel Gradwell told ABC News that foreign demand has been one of the drivers of the robust housing investment profile of the country.

“If this demand were to dry up suddenly, Australia’s construction pipeline would likely be notably weaker than currently expected,” he noted.

The study also noted that foreign buyers still represent a lower share of the total market activity – despite making up a substantial part of new home purchases – with an impact of around 7% to 13%.

Gradwell stressed that while foreign buyers have not been a major force that influences property price growth, they have had a significant impact.

“The purchase of 7% to 13% of total sales each year is not as significant as the share of new construction,” he said, “So the impact on overall prices is likely to be less than the impact on construction.”

The bank’s study also estimated that foreigners own between 2.5% to 4% of Australia’s housing stock. Gradwell argued that it would take a considerable foreign buyer exodus to result in a substantial price slump.

“This means that only a large shock, causing a high share of foreign owners to sell their Australian property, would be significant enough to drive sale prices lower,” Gradwell concluded.


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